The Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals will face off on Thursday Night Football in a meeting between two of the AFC’s most talented teams. The Dolphins (3-0) took a stunning 21-19 victory over defending AFC East champion Buffalo Bills last Sunday. The Bengals (1-2), who lost 23-20 to the Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl last year, are coming to start the season after a 27-12 win over the New York Jets after two narrow losses. Miami leads the all-time series 17-7 and hopes to have quarterback Tua Tagovailoa available for the game after leaving Sunday’s game with the Bills with a sore ankle and back.
Kick-off from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a 3.5 point favorite in the Bengals vs. Dolphins from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total runs scored is 48.5. Before you Dolphins vs. Bengals, you should check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has risen nearly $7,000 since its inception for $100 players on the top-rated NFL picks. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 139-103 run on the top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on NFL straight picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times in that span. Anyone who has followed it is far away.
Now the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Bengals and just laid down its picks and TNF predictions. You can now visit SportsLine to see the model choices. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Dolphins vs. Bengals:
- Bengal vs. Dolphin distribution: Cincinnati -3.5
- Bengal vs. dolphins above/below: 48.5 points
- Bengals vs. Dolphins moneyline: Dolphins +162, Bengals -195
- MIA: Dolphins are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games of September
- CIN: Bengals have played seven consecutive games against teams with winning records
- Bengals vs. Dolphins Choices: View the Choices Here
Featured game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins
Why the Bengal can cover?
Quarterback Joe Burrow faces the Dolphins for the first time in his career. In two career games against AFC East foes, Burrow was stable, completing 44 of 70 passes (62.9 percent) for 534 yards, six touchdowns and one interception for a 108.9 rating. After two mediocre efforts in the first two weeks, Burrow was sharp in Sunday’s win over the New York Jets. He completed 23 of 36 passes (63.9 percent) for 275 yards and three scores for a score of 114.9.
Defensively, Trey Hendrickson eventually goes looking for his second major game in a row. Against the Jets, he registered his first 2.5 sacks of the season and forced a career high two fumbles. He has nine tackles on the year, including six solo, with one for a loss. In 64 games over six seasons with the New Orleans Saints and Cincinnati Bengals, Hendrickson has 108 tackles, including 74 solo, with 36.5 sacks, eight forced fumbles and three pass breakups.
Why the dolphins can mate
Provided Tua Tagovailoa can go, Miami’s passing game looks formidable. Tagovailoa is second in the league in passing yards with 925 and tied for third with eight touchdown passes. He will be looking for a completion percentage greater than 70 and a passer score of 120 or greater for the third consecutive start. In his last appearance against Cincinnati, he threw for 296 yards and a score.
Miami has a one-two on the wide receiver position with Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. Waddle is second in the league with 342 receiving yards, while Hill is third with 317. Against the bills in Week 3, Waddle caught four passes and registered his third career game with at least 100 receiving yards. In 19 games to start his career, he has had 123 receptions, the second most by any player in his first 20 career games in NFL history. Hill has had success against Cincinnati. In the 2021 AFC Championship Game as a member of the Kansas City Chiefs, he had seven catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. In seven career games on Thursday Night Football, Hill has a six-game touchdown reception.
How to make Dolphins vs. Bengal’s picks
SportsLine’s model leans below the point total and asks for 48 points. It has also generated a counter-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of the simulations. You can only get the model’s TNF picks from SportsLine.
So who will win Dolphins vs. Bengals on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread makes up more than 50 percent of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Dolphins vs. Bengals are spreading to jump all of the high-end model that has surged nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks since 2017, and find from.