WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Early numbers and take the 3-day and 5-day with a grain of salt as projections are always off at this point in a Thanksgiving trajectory. Disney/Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda forever leads today by $9.5 million, even with yesterday and a $50 million Outlook from Wednesday to Sunday. However, strange world, as we thought, it fell under the $30 million projection $23 million – $27 million. Including previews, today looks round $4.5 million until $5 million for that animation. Encanto last year had an opening day of $7.6 million. Evidently, Strange world closed the gap on early matinees with Encanto, and hopefully that momentum will continue.
Sony and Black Label Media Dedication can be seen in 3,405 theaters $1.7 million today $9 million – $10 million for the 5-day, third place. Searchlight has an estimate $1 million for Wednesday before $6 million – $8 million more than 5 days.
Right now I’m hearing irregular messages about it Glass Onion: A Mystery of the Blades. Some have it ahead of all the new pre-sale adult counter-programming, while others don’t.
WEDNESDAY AM: It’s not like people didn’t go to the movies yesterday while we were on our way to Thanksgiving: Disney/Marvel Studios’ Black Panther: Wakanda Forever created $9.5 million in 4,258 theaters on Tuesday, helping the Ryan Coogler-directed sequel cross the three-century mark with $303.7 millionmaking it the 7th film to cross that threshold this year after that Top Gun: Maverick, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Jurassic World: Dominion, Minions: The Rise of Gru, The Batman and Thor: Love and Thunder.
There wasn’t much excitement to see Disney Animation’s previews last night, though Strange world, which, as we mentioned, doesn’t look very good for the holiday season. From previews that started at 6 p.m., Strange world did it alone $800K, which is arguably the lowest for a Disney Thanksgiving theatrical release in the era of early preview movie theaters. That’s almost half of what Encanto did a year ago in its Tuesday preview with $1.5 million, and then there were more pandemic fears among moviegoers. A $30 million+ five-day start to Strange world at 4,174 theaters is what we thought, but it wouldn’t be a surprise if it’s lower as the weekend ranks among Wakanda forever, who now tends to do $50 million+ from Wednesday to Sunday. Audience rating on Strange world is currently low on Rotten Tomatoes at 62%, but only from 50 reviews.
Wakanda foreverTuesday’s, up 36% from Monday, represents the third highest weekday (outside Friday) after the first Monday and Tuesday, which brought in $11.1 million and $12.6 million, respectively.
Searchlight The menu was second yesterday with $1.3 million at 3,228 locations, up 26% from Monday for a five-day rolling total of $11.3 million at 3,211. While A24s midsommar -a good genre comp for this Menu- took a different trajectory, opening on a Wednesday in July, the Mark Mylod-directed Anya Taylor Joy movie here’s 4% of the Ari Aster movie in its first five days.
Explore events and Angel Studios’ The Chosen: Season 3 Posted $1.02 million-19% from Monday for a running total of $11 million.
New line/DCs Black Adam was fourth on Tuesday with $690K at 3,372 locations, +17% for a running total of $158.3 million. The Dwayne Johnson movie is available digitally for $24.99 or for 48-hour rentals via PVOD for $19.99. The film will be released on DVD, Blu-Ray and 4K on January 3.
In 5th place was Universal’s romantic comedy George Clooney and Julia Roberts, Ticket to paradise, what made $490K in 3,268 theaters, +22% as of Monday for a running total of $62.4 million. The photo is already available to view on PVOD.
The Sony-distributed war film Black Label Media Dedication created $615K in 2,982 theaters starting at 6 p.m. That figure is higher than the figure for Thursday previews for Focus Features’ BlackKKKlansman which made $600K before seeing $3.6 million on Friday, and opening $10.8 million, but that was a completely different time of year, which was pre-pandemic 2018 in late summer. The Jonathan Majors-Glen Powell movie is expected to see $7 million to $8 million over five days.
United Artists Releasing’s wide expansion previews of Bones and all did $345K while today it goes to 2,700 theaters. For five days apart from previews, the Luca Guadagnino-directed genre picture has been shooting $146.7K from five theaters in NYC and LA. A five-day single-digit withdrawal is expected.