Hurricane center tracks system that could threaten Florida while TS Lisa, Hurricane Martin continue to swirl – Orlando Sentinel

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The National Hurricane Center continues to advise on what is now Tropical Storm Lisa moving over the Yucatan Peninsula and Hurricane Martin in the far north Atlantic, as well as two other systems that could become the next tropical depression or storm. One has the potential to threaten Florida.

It would come from a large non-tropical low pressure area expected to develop over the weekend in the northeastern Caribbean Sea and southwestern Atlantic Ocean, but could make its way over the Bahamas and off the coast of Florida next week.

“The system is expected to be very broad and disorganized initially, but environmental conditions could support gradual subtropical or tropical development early next week as it moves generally north or northwest,” forecasters said.

The NHC gives it a 30% chance of forming in the next five days.

The other system is further north, a disorganized series of showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak non-tropical low-pressure system a few hundred miles east of Bermuda.

“Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive to the slow subtropical or tropical development of this system in the coming days as it moves slowly southwards today and then turns westwards over the weekend,” forecasters said. “The disruption is expected to merge with a larger system developing in the southwest by the end of the weekend and further development is not expected at that time.”

The NHC gives it a 10% chance of developing in the next two to five days.

If either system develops into a tropical storm, the next names will be Nicole and Owen.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lisa, which made landfall in Belize after becoming a hurricane in the Caribbean on Wednesday, moved into Mexico overnight.

As of 8 a.m., the center of the storm was inland about 90 miles east-southeast of Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph pulling west at 10 mph. Tropical storm-force winds extend up to 35 miles.

“This general movement is expected to continue into the next day or so, taking the center of Lisa through southeastern Mexico. A turn to the northwest and a decrease in forward speed is expected Friday, causing Lisa to move across Campeche Bay Further weakening is forecast as the center remains over land, and Lisa is expected to weaken to a tropical depression later in the day, forecasters said. Lisa is not expected to re-intensify when the center reaches Campeche Bay.”

All tropical storm watches and warnings have ended.

The system is still dropping large amounts of rain, posing a sudden flood hazard. It is expected to bring 4 to 6 inches with some areas gaining 10 inches in Belize, northern Guatemala, the southern part of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo, southern and central Campeche, Tabasco, northern Chiapas and the far east of Veracruz.

Hurricane Martin cone of uncertainty from Thursday, November 3, 2022 at 8 a.m.

In the northern Atlantic, Hurricane Martin was located about 805 miles west-northwest of the Azores Islands with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph moving north-northeast at a breakneck pace of 46 mph. Hurricane-force winds extend up to 50 miles and tropical gale-force winds extend up to 275 miles.

“A turn to the north is expected later in the day with Martin crossing the far North Atlantic. A reduction in forward speed and a turn to the east or east-southeast is then forecast on Friday,” forecasters said. “Martin should get bigger and slightly stronger today as it transitions into a large and powerful post-tropical cyclone. After that time, the cyclone is expected to gradually lose strength over the weekend, but remain very large.”

According to the five-day forecast, it will bring post-tropical cyclone winds off the coast of Ireland and Britain on Monday.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs through November 30. The season’s 14 systems listed via Martin now meet NOAA’s 2022 forecast.

The NOAA has predicted it will be an above-average season with 14 to 21 named tropical storms. This follows the record 30 named systems in 2020 and 21 named storms in 2021.


The Valley Voice
The Valley Voicehttp://thevalleyvoice.org
Christopher Brito is a social media producer and trending writer for The Valley Voice, with a focus on sports and stories related to race and culture.

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