Hurricane center ups the odds on 2 systems to become the next tropical depression – Orlando Sentinel


After Hurricane Ian, the National Hurricane Center increased the likelihood that two Atlantic disturbances would become the next tropical depressions or storms.

First, the knocking on the door of the Caribbean islands is a tropical wave a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands, the NHC said in its 8am update. The probability of wave development increased to 40% over the next five days. The wave also has a 20% chance of developing in the next two days.

Forecasters predict it will move west at about 25 mph and cross the Windward Islands tonight and early Wednesday, NHC specialist Robbie Berg said.

“Slow development is possible as the wave continues westward, and a tropical depression may form over the central or western Caribbean Sea by the end of this week or this weekend,” Berg said.

According to the Spectrum News 13 SST map, the temperature of the Caribbean sea surface is at an ideal temperature for tropical growth, at about 84 degrees in the area of ​​the water the wave is shooting at.

A US Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate later in the day.

Meanwhile, the NHC is also monitoring a wide area of ​​low pressure with a high probability of becoming a tropical depression. Hurricane specialists gave the low an 80% chance of developing over the next two to five days, although the NHC predicts the low could turn into a depression the next day due to ideal Atlantic conditions.

The good news is that the system should have a hard time growing by the end of the week thanks to strong top-level winds hindering the storm’s organization.

If one or both systems form a tropical storm, the next two names on the NHC’s list are Julia and Karl. The NHC also tracked another potential cyclone that never developed into a depression, so the next tropical depression would be TD 12.

So far, the 2022 hurricane season has spawned nine named storms and another tropical depression that flared up and disintegrated as Ian attacked Florida. Initially, the season started slowly with a calm July and August, but the season has accelerated since September 1 with the emergence of four hurricanes, including Fiona and Ian in the past two weeks. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted the season would be an above-average year in storm production, requiring 14-21 named storms. An average year has 14.

The hurricane season ends on November 30.

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The Valley Voice
The Valley Voice
Christopher Brito is a social media producer and trending writer for The Valley Voice, with a focus on sports and stories related to race and culture.


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