NFL Playoff scenarios for Week 16: Bengals, Chargers, Ravens look to join field

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There are only three weeks left in the NFL regular season, and the playoff races are getting more and more exciting, as are the races for home field advantage during the playoffs and the all-important first round bye for each conference. The AFC and NFC have two teams with a greater than 20 percent chance of usurping the current wild card teams and the AFC South shrinking toward a coin flip, but that’s not all that’s at stake at week 16.

The Philadelphia Eagles are capable of taking No. 1 in the NFC this week, but the availability of Jalen Hurts against Dallas — and possibly for the long haul — is now up for debate. It’s still very likely that the Eagles will see each other, but their odds drop by about 6 percent if they lose to the Cowboys on Saturday. But that’s not the only ripple effect of Hurts’ uncertainty. The Eagles play against the Giants in Week 18, and if Philadelphia doesn’t come bye before the final week of the regular season, Philadelphia would have to play that week to win and potentially shake things up in the NFC wild card race.

As for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, the Bills are the current favorites at 59.1 percent, followed by the Chiefs at 37.3 percent. The Bengals are the third most likely team at 3.6 percent. It’s likely to be a two-team race, and with the Bills and Chiefs both favored by about double digits this weekend, it’s unlikely we’ll see too much drama. However, if we do, and one of the Bears or Seahawks gets the upper hand, the odds of earning the bye would fluctuate significantly.

Six teams will enter the playoffs going into Week 16: the Bills and Chiefs in the AFC and the Eagles, Vikings, 49ers and Cowboys in the NFC. Three more AFC teams and one more NFC team could take their seats this week, and the Bills and Eagles also have milestones on the line.

Cincinnati will advance to the playoffs with a victory over New England on Saturday or a loss or tie of Jets vs. Jacksonville on Thursday.

The Chargers clinch a playoff berth with a win over Indianapolis on Monday and a combination of losses or ties by the Raiders, Patriots, Jets and/or Dolphins.

The Ravens compete in one of 10 scenarios with wins or ties by them and wins, losses or ties by as many as seven other teams. There’s even a scenario where Baltimore comes in regardless of the result, if the Patriots and Jets lose, the Browns, Raiders, and Titans lose, or tie and the Chargers win.

The Giants clinch a playoff berth on Saturday, taking a win in Minnesota and losing by two of three to Detroit, Seattle and Washington.

The Bills clinch the AFC East with a win in Chicago on Saturday or a Dolphins loss to the Packers on Sunday.

The Eagles clinch the NFC East title with a win or tie on Saturday in Dallas and clinch NFC home field advantage and a first-round bye with a win or tie and loss or tie by the Vikings.

However, as mentioned above, the Eagles’ injury situation could have ripple effects during the NFC playoff race. The AFC gives us a huge showdown on Thursday Night Football between the Jaguars and Jets, two teams on the outside now looking in, but don’t forget Bengals at Patriots as that game has significant playoffs and implications for AFC North. After scanning the slate, there are 10 games in Week 16 that will move the needle for one or both teams involved. Let’s take a look at the possible swings in playoff odds for each team should they win this week:

Jaguars at Jets, Thursday 8:15 p.m. ET

What if the Jaguars win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

40.0 percent

+7.8 percent

5.0 percent

-19.0 percent

What if the Jets win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

35.0 percent

+11.0 percent

28.3 percent

-3.9 percent

Falcons at Ravens, Saturday 1 p.m. ET

What if the Falcons win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

9.4 percent

+6.4 percent

84.5 percent

-9.4 percent

What if the Ravens win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

98.6 percent

+4.7 percent

0.4 percent

-2.6 percent

Lions at Panthers, Saturday 1 p.m. ET

What if the Lions win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

72.2 percent

+14.6 percent

6.4 percent

-4.4 percent

What if the Panthers win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

17.2 percent

+6.4 percent

29.1 percent

-28.5 percent

Seahawks at Chiefs, Saturday 1 p.m. ET

What if the Seahawks win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

46.6 percent

+27.6 percent

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

8.20%

-29.1 percent

What if the Chiefs win?

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

44.4 percent

+7.1 percent

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

11.1 percent

-7.9 percent

Giants at Vikings, Saturday 1pm ET

What if the Giants win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

97.5 percent

+19.9 percent

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

0.0 percent

-0.6 percent

What if the Vikings win?

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

2.5 percent

+1.9 percent

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

71.2 percent

-6.4 percent

Bengals at Patriots, Saturday 1 p.m. ET

What if the Bengals win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

100.0 percent

+0.4 percent

6.9 percent

-14.6 percent

What if the Patriots win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

35.5 percent

14.0 percent

99.0 percent

-0.6 percent

Commanders at 49ers, Saturday 4:05 p.m. ET

What if the commanders win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

69.2 percent

+30.5 percent

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

0.0 percent

-0.7 percent

What if the 49ers win?

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

2.5 percent

+1.8 percent

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

24.7 percent

-14.0 percent

Eagles at Cowboys, Saturday 4:25 p.m. ET

What if the Eagles win?

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

100.0 percent

+1.8 percent

0.0 percent

-0.5 percent

What if the Cowboys win?

TEAM 1-SEED OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

2.3 percent

+1.8 percent

92.3 percent

-5.9 percent

Packers at Dolphins, Sunday 1 p.m. ET

What if the Packers win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

16.3 percent

+9.3 percent

66.4 percent

-8.5 percent

What if the Dolphins win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

82.3 percent

+7.4 percent

1.5 percent

-5.5 percent

Chargers at Colts, Monday 8:15 p.m. ET

What if the Chargers win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

96.7 percent

+14.8 percent

0.0 percent

-0.2 percent

What if the Colts win?

TEAM PLAYOFF OPPORTUNITIES CHANGE

0.6 percent

+0.4 percent

65.9 percent

-16.0 percent

(Photo: Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)


The Valley Voice
The Valley Voicehttp://thevalleyvoice.org
Christopher Brito is a social media producer and trending writer for The Valley Voice, with a focus on sports and stories related to race and culture.

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